Author(s)

N. Marchettini, C. Mocenni and V. Niccolucci

Abstract

The concentration of atmospheric CC^ is expected to double from 365 to 700 ppm by volume by the middle of the next century. Projections of CC^-induced climate change are less certain, but most of them predict a 2-4°C temperature increase, i.e. "global warming" [1]. On the other hand the effects of temperature in ecosystems are well known [2] regarding the solubility of O? and the limitations imposed to the photosynthetic process. We study the simulation effects of such a temperature increase of 2-3 °C in a structural mathematical model describing the dynamics of a coastal shallow water ecosystem located in the Natural Park of Circeo (Rome, Italy) [3]. Preliminary results of the simulation

Keywords