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Author(s): A. Politi
Abstract:
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A critical appraisal of text mining in an
intelligence environment
A.
Politi
Independent strategic & OSINT analyst, Italy.
1 Introduction:
The case for text mining in an intelligence environment seems on one hand
compelling and surely the practice of different intelligence and security agencies
confirms this assumption.
On the other hand this paper will explore what are the
subtle implications of text mining in the interaction between intelligence and
political decision-making.
The conclusion is that text mining is a powerful tool, but
that it is no substitute highly educated analysts; in other words it is an enabling
tool, but not a personnel cutting one.
The US declaration of war on terrorism after
the 11th of September tragedy has given a new impulse to the counterterrorist task
in the intelligence services around the world.
In addition to that, at least in the US
services, the lack of credible HUMINT assets continues to spur the search for
technological solutions to shortcomings that still require time to be remedied.
2 11 Sept., intelligence and information explosion
It is important to consider some aspects of the 11 Sept.
tragedy and catastrophe
in order to avoid some of the simplistic conclusions that still obscure the
substance in the debate.
The attack against the Twin Towers and the Pentagon has been a substantial
political, intelligence and law enforcement failure, where the emotional analogy
with Pearl Harbor is not applicable because the actors, the operational theatres,
the effects on the homeland and the indicators and warnings are simply not
comparable [1].
The story of the FBI Phoenix field office memorandum will not be the last
clue emerging that, together with others, should have prompted more preventive
action, if the political environment would have been different.
The political failure has roots dating back to the 1980s when successive
Republican and Democratic administrations chose basically to ignore the
...
Pages: 9
Size: 388 kb
Paper DOI: 10.2495/978-1-85312-995-7/09
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